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Showing posts with label cash. Show all posts
Showing posts with label cash. Show all posts

Friday, March 6, 2009

Introduction to diversification

Diversification is by far the most important strategy that an investor must learn. It is similar to the old saying "do not put all your eggs in the same basket". It is so obvious that if someone will tell that to you you would offended.

What is Diversification?
Diversification is when you invest in a range of investment instruments that are different from each other. Diversification is done because each instruments have different risk, volatility and liquidity associated with them. Hence by investing in instruments have have different risk, your portfolio is more resilient to shocks in the economy. If the value in some investments decline, the fall might be balanced by rises in others or at least the value of the other investment might not fall as much and as a result the value of your portfolio will not fall as much.

Lets say that you invested in one stock, then in a recession the value of your portfolio will fall with the stock market. However if you buy two stocks, then one of them might fall less and reduce the fall. Consider further that you have used a third of the money to buy bonds. In a recession the value of the bond will be the same. Hence your portfolio will be further able to resist the fall of the stock market. hence as you can see it is a usual practice to have in your portfolio a mix of bonds, stocks and cash. The cash is used to meet emergency expenses so that you don't have to sell bonds and stocks. It is never a wise move to sell stocks of bonds to meet unexpected expenses. Hence a typical portfolio will have a mixture of bonds, stocks and cash. The more aggressive investors will have a larger percentage of stocks while the safe investor will have a larger percentage of bonds.When creating a portfolio that contains both stocks and bonds, aggressive investors may lean toward a mix of 80% stocks and 20% bonds while conservative investors may prefer a 20% stocks to 80% bonds mix.

You should also keep in mind that stocks come in different flavors. There are blue chip companies, medium and small size companies and start-ups that offers varying degree of risk and return. Investors can buy stocks from different sectors of the economy. Remember that different sectors of the economy are not affected in the same way during recessions. some may even be counter cyclical and rise during a recession. It is thus important to include in your portfolio stocks that are from various sectors and from companies of different sizes.
Bonds are also of various types. Bonds may be from governments, companies and municipalities. These bonds have different risks and hence have different returns. They also have different maturity dates so that if you are building a bond ladder with a bonds of maturity dates then you will have bonds that mature every year. It is therefore a good practice to have different types of bonds that have different returns and different maturity dates.

If however you do not want to go to the expense of buying all sorts of stocks and bonds you could buy a mutual fund. Mutual funds are a selection of bonds and/or stocks have have been bought by a company and you got to buy a share of them. You thus invest in the mutual fund and you get the advantages of buying stocks and bonds. Mutual funds comes in all types of flavors. you can have all stocks, different mix of stocks, all bonds, different types of bonds and different mix of bonds. The choice is all yours. You can also have index funds that buy mostly everything so that you benefit from the general trend. The choice is yours. Mutual funds are ideal for those that are starting in the investment world or don't have time to do research. However for the expert investor mutual funds is not advisable for with time the fees eat the profit.


While stocks and bonds represent the traditional investment instruments, a lot of alternative investments can be used for diversification. Real estate investment trusts, hedge funds, art and other investments provide the opportunity to invest in vehicles that do not necessarily move in tandem with the traditional financial markets. I do not however recommend them for they require a lot of professional knowledge.

A word of caution is required here. While diversification is good for the investor, there is also what is called overdiversification. At this point fees increases to such an extent that it decreases the return. Tracking the inverstments is time consuming. So you should not diversify into too many investment instruments.

Conclusion
Your personal time frame, risk tolerance, investment goals, financial means and level of investment experience will play a large role in choosing your diversification strategy. Start by making a financial plan and choose the appropriate mix.

Good luck.

Sunday, February 22, 2009

Should i sell my stocks and hold cash?

Should I invest and stay in the stock market or sell everything and keep the cash when the market is falling? Sadly for most investors the answer is yes. As a result many of them are selling their investment to hoard cash. Is cash really a safe haven and better that other investment? I would say no, so lets have a look at the arguments against holding Cash.

Advantages of holding cash

If a stock is falling like a knife, selling the stock and holing cash will help to stop your losses.
Also some people have a low tolerance to falling stock market so having cash is a good thing.
While your portfolio can fall and rise, cash in bank and safe retain their nominal value. In some countries cash in account is guarantied so that their is little danger of it losing its value.
Its face value at least.

Disadvantages of holding cash

While holding cash might feel good in the short term it is an unwise move over the long term. Stock market go up and down but it usually in the long run. So even if it is going down now it will go up again and recover the loss value. It is only a temporary loss ,a paper loss. If you sell now you will make the loss permanent. When stocks are falling the only chance to regain their value is to hold on to them until their value rise again. On the contrary when the stock market is down, you should buy more stocks at bargain prices.

The second problem with holding cash is inflation. Cash loses value with time and gradually the value will decrease. You will have no such problem with stocks. The return on stocks is usually greater than that on cash and also greater than inflation. The stock market has always outperform cash. While adjusted for inflation a stock portfolio will increase with time, a cash portfolio will fall with time.

If you sell your stocks now, you will have to get in again. You will thus have to time your entry. This is very difficult to do as you will be trying to time the bottom. Chances are that you will miss it, and as I have written in a previous post, missing the bottom is like running after a train it is very difficult to catch. So your best chance of regaining the value of your portfolio is to remain invested and be patient.

So guys stay invested and wait for the bull market. The rise will be quick and brutal. When it start i will be on the train. Will you be on it or running after it trying to catch it?

The choice is yours.


Sunday, December 21, 2008

Certificate of deposits

Certificate of deposits are the safest investment possible. They are secure and insured in most countries. However they offer a low return.


Post in this category coming soon.


Saturday, December 20, 2008

Various articles

This section contain posts that cannot be classified under other section. It contains post on various subjects that are of interest to the average investor.

How to spend wisely. The old fashion way.
Hello thrift. It is so long since we saw you.
Saving money is bad for the economy. But is good for you.
A long and deep recession?
The great depression 2 is coming.
Hard work is needed to get ou of the recession. Not wishful thinking.
What is a pyramid Scheme?
The duplicate content penalty exist
What is market capitalisation?

Thursday, December 18, 2008

Introduction to investing

Have ever wondered how rich people got so much money and why the rich get richer and the poor get poorer. It seems that the world is set in such a way that money flows from the poor and the workers to the rich. You may also have plans such as retiring early, to send your children to university or to buy a dream house.


These things will not happen if you do not start right now. The key to your future plans lies in investing. This blog will be the place where you will learn all the secrets that will make investing easy. So hang on and keep reading.

Below you will find links to different categories of posts that will help you understand the world of investing.


Various investment articles
Various investment articles that might be of help to you but cannot be classified under any of the headings below.

Debt management
Debt is the mortal enemy of the investor. So find out here on how to reduce it.

Investment strategies
Analyzing the different information available to you, including economic data, financial information from companies, among others that will help you make the right decision.


Investment instruments

Stocks
The investors instrument par excellence. They give high return but come with high risk. Not to be touch unless you are fully informed.

Bonds
Versatile debt and investment instrument. Safe depending on the source, they offer decent return for a medium risk.

Certificate of deposits
The safest investment possible. They are secure and insured in most countries. However they offer a low return.

Gold and precious metals
The hedge instrument par excellence. they keep their values over time but do not give any return.

Real estates
Not for the amateur. Offer good return only if done by professionals.

Mutual funds
Nice instrument for those who cannot afford to learn about finance. Offer decent return with minimum risk.

Options, futures and other instruments
I personally do not go into those instruments but what the hell.



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